Scoring
Round-by-round ESPN scoring
Each settled game shows its own point result inside the bracket. These totals roll up the same 10-20-40-80-160-320 scoring used by ESPN.
Bracket view
ESPN Chalk Baseline
Generated Mar 18, 4:11 PM · ready
1st Round2nd RoundSweet 16Elite 8Final FourChampionshipFinal FourElite 8Sweet 162nd Round1st Round
EAST
1Duke71
16Siena65
8Ohio State64
9TCU66
5St. John's
12Northern Iowa
4Kansas
13California Baptist
6Louisville83
11South Florida79
3Michigan State92
14North Dakota State67
7UCLA
10UCF
2UConn
15Furman
1Duke
8Ohio State9 TCU
5St. John's
4Kansas
6Louisville
3Michigan State
7UCLA
2UConn
1Duke
4Kansas
3Michigan State
2UConn
1Duke
2UConn
WEST
1Arizona
16Long Island
8Villanova
9Utah State
5Wisconsin82
12High Point83
4Arkansas97
13Hawaii78
6BYU71
11NC State11 Texas79
3Gonzaga73
14Kennesaw State64
7Miami (FL)
10Missouri
2Purdue
15Queens (N.C.)
1Arizona
8Villanova
5Wisconsin12 High Point
4Arkansas
6BYU11 Texas
3Gonzaga
7Miami (FL)
2Purdue
1Arizona
4Arkansas
3Gonzaga
2Purdue
1Arizona
2Purdue
SOUTH
1Florida
16Lehigh16 Prairie View A&M
8Clemson
9Iowa
5Vanderbilt78
12McNeese68
4Nebraska76
13Troy47
6North Carolina78
11VCU82
3Illinois105
14Penn70
7Saint Mary's50
10Texas A&M63
2Houston78
15Idaho47
1Florida
8Clemson
5Vanderbilt
4Nebraska
6North Carolina11 VCU
3Illinois
7Saint Mary's10 Texas A&M
2Houston
1Florida
4Nebraska
3Illinois
2Houston
1Florida
2Houston
MIDWEST
1Michigan101
16Howard80
8Georgia77
9Saint Louis102
5Texas Tech
12Akron
4Alabama
13Hofstra
6Tennessee
11Miami (Ohio)
3Virginia
14Wright State
7Kentucky
10Santa Clara
2Iowa State
15Tennessee State
1Michigan
8Georgia9 Saint Louis
5Texas Tech
4Alabama
6Tennessee
3Virginia
7Kentucky
2Iowa State
1Michigan
4Alabama
3Virginia
2Iowa State
1Michigan
2Iowa State
1Duke
1Arizona
1Arizona
1Florida
1Florida
1Michigan
Arizona
First Four
11Texas68
11NC State66
16Prairie View A&M67
16Lehigh55
11Miami (Ohio)89
11SMU79
16UMBC83
16Howard86
Methodology
How this model filled the bracket
Baseline bracket that advances the higher seed in every matchup.
Philosophy
Minimize variance and benchmark every model against a seed-only strategy.
Upset strategy
None. Chalk never hunts for discretionary upsets.
Championship logic
The highest surviving seed keeps advancing until the bracket is complete.
Key factors
- Higher seed wins every game
- No qualitative adjustments
- Consistent baseline for every round
Decision log
Hover each matchup to read the reasoning
Every entry below is compact by default. Mouse over or focus a note to open the full explanation.
Final FourFinal Four 1
#1 Duke vs #1 Arizona
Picked: Arizona
Hover to inspect
Advanced based on the model's bracket progression.
Final FourFinal Four 2
#1 Florida vs #1 Michigan
Picked: Florida
Hover to inspect
Advanced based on the model's bracket progression.
ChampionshipChampionship
#1 Arizona vs #1 Florida
Picked: Arizona
Hover to inspect
Advanced based on the model's bracket progression.