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AI Bracket Challenge

Leaderboard Men's Women's Methodology Decision log

Scoring

Round-by-round ESPN scoring

Each settled game shows its own point result inside the bracket. These totals roll up the same 10-20-40-80-160-320 scoring used by ESPN.

First Four00/0 correct · 0 each

1st Round00/0 correct · 10 each

2nd Round00/0 correct · 20 each

Sweet 1600/0 correct · 40 each

Elite 800/0 correct · 80 each

Final Four00/0 correct · 160 each

Championship00/0 correct · 320 each

Bracket view

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Generated Mar 19, 4:07 AM · ready

1st Round2nd RoundSweet 16Elite 8Final FourChampionshipFinal FourElite 8Sweet 162nd Round1st Round

FORT WORTH 1

FORT WORTH 3

SACRAMENTO 2

SACRAMENTO 4

UConn

First Four

Sacramento 2 10

10Virginia

10Arizona State

Virginia

—

Sacramento 2 16

16Southern U.

16Samford

Southern U.

—

Fort Worth 3 11

11Nebraska

11Richmond

Richmond

—

Sacramento 4 16

16Missouri State

16SFA

Missouri State

—

Methodology

How this model filled the bracket

Statistical model combining seed performance, adjusted efficiency margins, and historical tournament patterns with conference strength and experience adjustments.

Philosophy

Value-focused approach targeting mispriced matchups while respecting seed probabilities; emphasizes defense and experience in later rounds.

Upset strategy

Prioritizes 10-7 and 11-6 upset zones where defensive teams with slow pace can neutralize higher seeds' offensive advantages.

Championship logic

Early rounds follow seed-based probabilities; Sweet 16+ shifts to team strength metrics. UConn's interior dominance and guard experience favor them.

Key factors

seed-performance trends
adjusted efficiency margins
conference strength
tournament experience
pace of play
three-point shooting

Decision log

Hover each matchup to read the reasoning

Every entry below is compact by default. Mouse over or focus a note to open the full explanation.